Q4 Venture Financings Down, But an Engine for eBusiness is Actually Up

 

With the economy still in a recession it’s no surprise that venture capital investing in the U.S. fell in the fourth quarter of 2008 to the lowest level in four years, according to VentureSource.  Financings for the quarter fell to 554, down from 620 the prior period and 718 a year ago.  The total number of 2,550 deals was the annual total since 2005.

But eBusinesses can take heart.  Media content and information financings actually increased to 50 in Q4, up from 33 a year earlier.  That’s because in economic downturns investment follows capital-efficient business models like those that deliver online advertising and products to consumers.  Content is central to attracting the eyeballs that information sites, retailers and manufacturers then efficiently monetize.

Circuit City to call it quits. e-Lesson: Take the offer when you can

Big box electronics retailer Circuit City is seeking Bankruptcy Court approval to start liquidating its assets after failing to reach an agreement with its creditors.  The rub is that Blockbuster had tried to acquire Circuit City last year but the overtures were rejected. Although Circuit City eventually warmed to a deal the talks between the two went nowhere.

circuit-cityThe lesson here is that 30,000 employess will soon lose their jobs because Circuit City failed to address a critical erosion in their core business model.  Blockbuster was  a logical suitor because of its broad retail store base and complementary products (videos to be viewed on popular, high-end electronic devices).  Blockbuster was facing similar erosion due to on-demand movie and television e-tailing from cable companies and would likely have struck a favorable deal.   But (as George Bush might say) Circuit City “miss-underestimated” the growing dominance of online and offline retailers such as Best Buy, Walmart, and Amazon. 

Jedwar’s advice: “When in doubt, branch out.”  When faced with similar conditions (merge or fail), consider carefully your options.  Many times 2 birds in the hand are worth far more than one in the bush.

e-Merchants: Gas savings going to groceries, savings, and debt reduction – not online

As reported by Research Brief , the results of nationwide research from retail analytics firm Precima indicates that groceries are the top item on which U.S. consumers are spending their savings from lower gas prices.  Of the 3,013 consumers surveyed, 48% said they’re spending it on groceries, 42% said saving, 37% holiday gift buying, 30% paying off credit cards, 10% entertainment, and 14% said other. 

What this means is that savings are not being shifted to traditional online buying categories.  During an economic dowturn consumers will shift their spending to staple goods and asset protection (like food, savings and credit card reduction.)  Retailers need to factor in these variables when considering their budget forecasts for 2009.

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